What’s up with Canada?

Climate Change

  • It’s not unusual for politicians to sit down with friendly journalists for end-of-year interviews. But Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre’s 40-minute chat with Rex Murphy on the National Post’s podcast was anything but ordinary.

    It was also anything but journalism. Here’s a verbatim question about Trudeau’s plans to mitigate climate change: “This is not a sarcastic question, but it is a real one: Does he understand — does he have the intellectual competence to understand — the effect of these policies? Or is it something that just lodged in his brain as a younger person?”

    Good question, Rex!

    And here’s how Poilievre answered: “To understand Justin Trudeau, you have to understand his only two objectives: one is that the government should control everything; and two, that he should control the government. Those are his only two principles.”

    Fair point, Pierre!

    When he wasn’t making up stuff about the prime minister, Poilievre made some actual points about Canada’s energy policy. For instance, he’s right that the world will continue to need to burn fossil fuels for decades to come; and he’s right that sourcing crude oil from Alberta, Saskatchewan and Newfoundland would be infinitely more ethical than importing it from authoritarian regimes.

    But here’s the thing: Canada already produces far more crude than it consumes. Only refineries in Ontario, Quebec and New Brunswick import any at all — and Ontario and Quebec get 100% of their non-domestic supply from the United States. That’s hardly, as Poilievre put it to Murphy, “dollars for dictators” (at least until the next U.S. election).

    Only New Brunswick imported any crude oil from an authoritarian regime last year — and it was from Saudi Arabia, Canada’s nominal friend. And even still, less than a third of that province’s imports came from the Saudis compared to more than half from the United States, Canada’s actual friend (at least until the next U.S. election).

    Yes, it’s true that Trudeau is very vocal about Canada’s need to phase out fossil fuels. But the inconvenient truth is that Canada’s oil and gas sector has thrived under the Liberals. Not only has production increased in the eight years since Trudeau took office, it has grown twice as fast as it did during the preceding decade when Stephen Harper’s Conservatives were in charge — and faster than any other country in the world besides the United States.

    And yes, it’s also true that Trudeau has made historic investments in renewable energy. But that’s hardly a “very radical ideology,” as Poilievre claimed in the interview. It isn’t even a particularly progressive policy position in 2023. Even Alberta’s United Conservative premier Danielle Smith has committed to transforming that province’s energy grid to emit net-zero carbon by 2050.

    In fact, when Murphy asked Poilievre why Canada should have a “special obligation” to reduce emissions, “even if you buy the theories of global warming,” the Conservative leader replied: “I don’t take issue with the idea of trying to reduce emissions in order to combat climate change.”

    So pretty much everybody now accepts that Canada needs to phase out fossil fuels (except Rex), just as pretty much everybody now accepts that climate change is real (except Rex). But that’s beside the point: Poilievre wasn’t there to try to deny the threat posed by a warming world; he was there to try to convince Canadians that Trudeau isn’t the good guy he portrays himself to be.

    At another point in the podcast Murphy asked (I’m paraphrasing) “Why does Justin hate Canada?” and Poilievre replied (I’m not paraphrasing): “It serves his ideological objective of wanting the government to control everything…. By doing that — by saying that Canada either has a wretched history or no history at all — he’s left to control the future. And that’s right out of Orwell.”

    If you haven’t had a chance to read 1984 yet, spoiler alert: Trudeau isn’t right out of Orwell. Canada isn’t a totalitarian state; the prime minister isn’t trying to destroy Canada so that he can rebuild the country in his own awful image; and Canadians aren’t brainwashed into absolute obedience. If they were, Trudeau wouldn’t be losing so badly to Poilievre in the polls, and those “Fuck Trudeau” bumper stickers wouldn’t be quite so popular.

    But something tells me that Poilievre losing the plot doesn’t matter too much to his supporters… because something tells me they aren’t the biggest of readers. Though they certainly do enjoy a simple narrative about good and evil. And they clearly don’t mind if it’s less science than fiction. Plus there’s no denying that Poilievre is a good storyteller: he’s well-versed and articulate… and more importantly, he doesn’t let facts get in the way of a good story.

    Poilievre loses the plot on climate policy

    was published

  • Oh, great, just what Canada needs: a totally made-up sovereignty crisis.

    Who should we thank this time? The Bloc Quebecois again? No; this latest challenge to Canada’s Constitution is courtesy of Alberta premier Danielle Smith and her United Conservative Party.

    OK, so what’s up with Alberta? Well, until recently, the province was a paradise for Canadian conservatives. The Liberals may have dominated federal politics for the past century, but in Alberta they haven’t won a single election since World War One.

    Nonetheless, really right-wing Albertans wanted more. They felt that Alberta’s Progressive Conservatives were far too progressive – and not nearly conservative enough.

    So Alberta’s ruling party frequently faced challengers from further to the right – until finally, in 2015, the Wildrose Party so successfully split the conservative vote that something miraculous happened: Alberta elected the left-wing New Democratic Party.

    Suddenly Alberta wasn’t conservative heaven anymore… it was socialist hell. Not really, of course: NDP premier Rachel Notley increased the minimum wage, invested in education and heath care, and raised the corporate tax rate. And the sky did not fall.

    But she certainly put the fear of God into former Conservative federal minister Jason Kenney, who won the race to lead Alberta’s beleaguered Progressive Conservatives in 2017 after promising to take down the NDP by joining forces with the righter-wing Wildrose Party.

    His plan worked: Kenney’s newly founded United Conservatives beat Notley’s New Democrats in Alberta’s 2019 election. But then COVID hit – and Kenney failed so spectacularly as premier that his party called for a leadership review, and he stepped down before finishing his first term.

    Enter Danielle Smith. She’d led the Wildrose Party from 2009 to 2014, but she was a talk radio host and columnist for the Calgary Herald when she won the United Conservative leadership race in 2022 on her promise to pass the “Alberta Sovereignty Within a United Canada Act.”

    And that more or less brings us back to this week, when premier Smith invoked her signature act for the first time.

    Why? Well, according to her, Canada’s forthcoming Clean Energy Regulations will cause brownouts, blackouts, and obscene electricity bills in Alberta… and Trudeau’s Liberals don’t care because they’re environmental ideologues.

    But that’s total bullshit: Canada’s Clean Electricity Regulations are still being drafted; the federal government is still consulting with Alberta; nothing has been set in stone – not even the deadline for establishing a net-zero carbon-emitting power grid by 2035; and the current draft already includes a provision allowing for new natural-gas plants to be exempted from the regulations for 20 years.

    Plus the goal of establishing a net-zero power grid isn’t some woke Liberal idea. It’s something all G7 nations agree is of existential importance. But every member country also acknowledges that the objective is aspirational – as opposed to realistic – because there are places that cannot achieve net-zero for very practical geographic, technological and financial reasons.

    The federal government already readily recognizes that Alberta is one such place. While Canada’s electricity grid is already around 80% carbon-free, that ratio varies from province to province. For example, 99% of PEI’s power is generated by wind (because it’s a windy island); and 80% of Quebec’s power is generated by hydro (because it’s a land of rivers); but nearly 90% of Alberta’s power is still generated by burning fossil fuel (because it’s the home of the oilsands).

    Nonetheless, Alberta premier Smith’s threat-slash-promise to defy federal law was accompanied by her promise-slash-threat to establish a government-owned energy company to build and run new natural gas plants until 2035 – and then buy and run old natural gas plants from the private sector in defiance of the federal government indefinitely.

    This would be head-scratchingly off-brand. As Liberal minister Randy Boissonnault told reporters in a scrum on Parliament Hill: “We’re talking about a conservative premier that wants to nationalize the energy industry in Alberta … to pick a fight with the feds over regs that don’t even yet exist.… I can’t even write this stuff. It’s crazy.”

    It’s also obviously unconstitutional (provinces can’t pick and choose laws to enforce a la carte) as well as completely unnecessary: Federal laws that violate provincial jurisdiction are already illegal (by definition) and provinces can already challenge such laws (via the legal system).

    It seems like Smith understands as much. Yes, she vowed to take Trudeau’s Liberals to court if the federal government doesn’t back down on the 2035 deadline; and yes, she continues to confidently proclaim that the Supreme Court of Canada would see things her way.

    But the Alberta premier has also described her own invocation of her own legislation as “largely symbolic.” And she has repeatedly committed to getting Alberta’s energy grid to net-zero by 2050… a mere 15 years later than the deadline proposed by the supposedly ideological Liberals.

    I realize it wasn’t incidental that Alberta’s Progressive Conservatives dropped the word “Progressive” from their name when they merged with the Wildrose Party. But there’s difference between opposing progressivism (however you define it) and simply stalling progress.

    Even Danielle Smith understands that the days are numbered for Alberta’s oilsands. She’s just trying to burn up as much of it as she can before that day finally comes.

    Danielle Smith wages war on progress

    was published

  • Don’t quote me on this but: It looks like the Canadian media is finally turning against Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre.

    If you haven’t been following Canadian politics, you might be thinking: What? I thought the media had a liberal bias!

    That’s certainly what people say. But that hasn’t been the case for Justin Trudeau – at least not recently. The consensus among commentators at the CBC and CTV has been that the Liberals need to go – and this was true before Poilievre passed Trudeau in popularity polls earlier this year.

    But that appears to be changing this week. Suddenly people like The Globe and Mail’s Robert Fife are on CPAC’s PrimeTime Politics acting all shocked and concerned that Poilievre would “blatantly lie” – as if that hasn’t been the guy’s modus operandi for the past eighteen years.

    The blatant lie that has Canadian pundits in arms is Poilievre’s absurd claim that Trudeau’s trade deal with Ukraine would “impose a carbon tax on the people of Ukraine while they have a knife to their throat.”

    What the deal would actually do is completely non-bindingly “promote carbon pricing” – which Ukraine already has, and which Ukraine is already doing as part of its bid to join the European Union.

    So why would Poilievre make up such a ridiculous lie? The consensus seems to be that he was trying to take a page from the Trump playbook by courting anti-democratic voters who don’t support Ukraine (because they’re cheap, lack morals, and have a crush on Vladimir Putin).

    But that doesn’t make very much sense… because MAGA politics don’t play very well in Canada. Yes, the far-right People’s Party of Canada would love to beg to differ – but they have no power, and their leader, Maxime Bernier, is basically a full-time social media troll at this point.

    Plus Poilievre, for all his lack of character, has always been vocal and steadfast in his support for Ukraine. Trudeau admitted as much when he suggested that “right-wing American, MAGA-influenced thinking has made Canadian Conservatives – who used to be among the strongest defenders of Ukraine, I’ll admit – turn their backs on Ukraine.”

    But that’s the thing: While Poilievre is certainly the Conservative leader, he isn’t really all that conservative. Nor is he a MAGA Republican for that matter, or the Donald Trump of the North, or anything like that.

    If he’s anything at all, Poilievre is an anti-tax utopian: He believes – with what appears to be religious conviction – that there isn’t a problem in the world that couldn’t be solved by cutting some taxes.

    Poilievre opposes taxes in principle too: He resents that governments force people to give to the greater good – especially because the greater good includes things he doesn’t give a fuck about, like the environment.

    Yes, it’s ironic that a politician hates taxes. But that’s the other thing about Poilievre: he lacks self awareness. That’s why he’s able to claim that “the pathological obsession these Liberals have with carbon taxes has reached a level where it is sick” without recognizing that his own obsession with carbon taxes is pathological and, well, sick.

    But that’s Poilievre. And he’s made no secret of it: He’s been Canada’s ever-contemptuous and relentlessly raging id on Parliament Hill for nearly two decades.

    It’s not his fault that Canadians are only finally catching onto him now.

    People notice Pierre Poilievre is a liar

    was published