What’s up with Canada?

Carbon Tax

  • It’s not unusual for politicians to sit down with friendly journalists for end-of-year interviews. But Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre’s 40-minute chat with Rex Murphy on the National Post’s podcast was anything but ordinary.

    It was also anything but journalism. Here’s a verbatim question about Trudeau’s plans to mitigate climate change: “This is not a sarcastic question, but it is a real one: Does he understand — does he have the intellectual competence to understand — the effect of these policies? Or is it something that just lodged in his brain as a younger person?”

    Good question, Rex!

    And here’s how Poilievre answered: “To understand Justin Trudeau, you have to understand his only two objectives: one is that the government should control everything; and two, that he should control the government. Those are his only two principles.”

    Fair point, Pierre!

    When he wasn’t making up stuff about the prime minister, Poilievre made some actual points about Canada’s energy policy. For instance, he’s right that the world will continue to need to burn fossil fuels for decades to come; and he’s right that sourcing crude oil from Alberta, Saskatchewan and Newfoundland would be infinitely more ethical than importing it from authoritarian regimes.

    But here’s the thing: Canada already produces far more crude than it consumes. Only refineries in Ontario, Quebec and New Brunswick import any at all — and Ontario and Quebec get 100% of their non-domestic supply from the United States. That’s hardly, as Poilievre put it to Murphy, “dollars for dictators” (at least until the next U.S. election).

    Only New Brunswick imported any crude oil from an authoritarian regime last year — and it was from Saudi Arabia, Canada’s nominal friend. And even still, less than a third of that province’s imports came from the Saudis compared to more than half from the United States, Canada’s actual friend (at least until the next U.S. election).

    Yes, it’s true that Trudeau is very vocal about Canada’s need to phase out fossil fuels. But the inconvenient truth is that Canada’s oil and gas sector has thrived under the Liberals. Not only has production increased in the eight years since Trudeau took office, it has grown twice as fast as it did during the preceding decade when Stephen Harper’s Conservatives were in charge — and faster than any other country in the world besides the United States.

    And yes, it’s also true that Trudeau has made historic investments in renewable energy. But that’s hardly a “very radical ideology,” as Poilievre claimed in the interview. It isn’t even a particularly progressive policy position in 2023. Even Alberta’s United Conservative premier Danielle Smith has committed to transforming that province’s energy grid to emit net-zero carbon by 2050.

    In fact, when Murphy asked Poilievre why Canada should have a “special obligation” to reduce emissions, “even if you buy the theories of global warming,” the Conservative leader replied: “I don’t take issue with the idea of trying to reduce emissions in order to combat climate change.”

    So pretty much everybody now accepts that Canada needs to phase out fossil fuels (except Rex), just as pretty much everybody now accepts that climate change is real (except Rex). But that’s beside the point: Poilievre wasn’t there to try to deny the threat posed by a warming world; he was there to try to convince Canadians that Trudeau isn’t the good guy he portrays himself to be.

    At another point in the podcast Murphy asked (I’m paraphrasing) “Why does Justin hate Canada?” and Poilievre replied (I’m not paraphrasing): “It serves his ideological objective of wanting the government to control everything…. By doing that — by saying that Canada either has a wretched history or no history at all — he’s left to control the future. And that’s right out of Orwell.”

    If you haven’t had a chance to read 1984 yet, spoiler alert: Trudeau isn’t right out of Orwell. Canada isn’t a totalitarian state; the prime minister isn’t trying to destroy Canada so that he can rebuild the country in his own awful image; and Canadians aren’t brainwashed into absolute obedience. If they were, Trudeau wouldn’t be losing so badly to Poilievre in the polls, and those “Fuck Trudeau” bumper stickers wouldn’t be quite so popular.

    But something tells me that Poilievre losing the plot doesn’t matter too much to his supporters… because something tells me they aren’t the biggest of readers. Though they certainly do enjoy a simple narrative about good and evil. And they clearly don’t mind if it’s less science than fiction. Plus there’s no denying that Poilievre is a good storyteller: he’s well-versed and articulate… and more importantly, he doesn’t let facts get in the way of a good story.

    Poilievre loses the plot on climate policy

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  • Don’t quote me on this but: It looks like the Canadian media is finally turning against Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre.

    If you haven’t been following Canadian politics, you might be thinking: What? I thought the media had a liberal bias!

    That’s certainly what people say. But that hasn’t been the case for Justin Trudeau – at least not recently. The consensus among commentators at the CBC and CTV has been that the Liberals need to go – and this was true before Poilievre passed Trudeau in popularity polls earlier this year.

    But that appears to be changing this week. Suddenly people like The Globe and Mail’s Robert Fife are on CPAC’s PrimeTime Politics acting all shocked and concerned that Poilievre would “blatantly lie” – as if that hasn’t been the guy’s modus operandi for the past eighteen years.

    The blatant lie that has Canadian pundits in arms is Poilievre’s absurd claim that Trudeau’s trade deal with Ukraine would “impose a carbon tax on the people of Ukraine while they have a knife to their throat.”

    What the deal would actually do is completely non-bindingly “promote carbon pricing” – which Ukraine already has, and which Ukraine is already doing as part of its bid to join the European Union.

    So why would Poilievre make up such a ridiculous lie? The consensus seems to be that he was trying to take a page from the Trump playbook by courting anti-democratic voters who don’t support Ukraine (because they’re cheap, lack morals, and have a crush on Vladimir Putin).

    But that doesn’t make very much sense… because MAGA politics don’t play very well in Canada. Yes, the far-right People’s Party of Canada would love to beg to differ – but they have no power, and their leader, Maxime Bernier, is basically a full-time social media troll at this point.

    Plus Poilievre, for all his lack of character, has always been vocal and steadfast in his support for Ukraine. Trudeau admitted as much when he suggested that “right-wing American, MAGA-influenced thinking has made Canadian Conservatives – who used to be among the strongest defenders of Ukraine, I’ll admit – turn their backs on Ukraine.”

    But that’s the thing: While Poilievre is certainly the Conservative leader, he isn’t really all that conservative. Nor is he a MAGA Republican for that matter, or the Donald Trump of the North, or anything like that.

    If he’s anything at all, Poilievre is an anti-tax utopian: He believes – with what appears to be religious conviction – that there isn’t a problem in the world that couldn’t be solved by cutting some taxes.

    Poilievre opposes taxes in principle too: He resents that governments force people to give to the greater good – especially because the greater good includes things he doesn’t give a fuck about, like the environment.

    Yes, it’s ironic that a politician hates taxes. But that’s the other thing about Poilievre: he lacks self awareness. That’s why he’s able to claim that “the pathological obsession these Liberals have with carbon taxes has reached a level where it is sick” without recognizing that his own obsession with carbon taxes is pathological and, well, sick.

    But that’s Poilievre. And he’s made no secret of it: He’s been Canada’s ever-contemptuous and relentlessly raging id on Parliament Hill for nearly two decades.

    It’s not his fault that Canadians are only finally catching onto him now.

    People notice Pierre Poilievre is a liar

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  • If you took as gospel the good word from the talking heads at the CBC and CTV, or the ink-stained scribes at The Globe and Mail and National Post, you’d swear Justin Trudeau’s carbon tax will doom us all.

    But what the hell is the carbon tax, anyway? And why is it the worst thing ever?

    Carbon pricing (derisively and henceforth called ‘the carbon tax’) is a fossil fuel fee levied on everything from gas at the pump to plastic packaging. While it’s endlessly irritating for consumers, economists generally agree it’s among the most effective ways to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

    In 2015, Trudeau’s third-place Liberals defeated Stephen Harper’s incumbent Conservatives in part on a promise to introduce carbon pricing. But now Pierre Poilievre is running on a promise to kill the tax – even though the Conservatives ran on a similar plan in the last two elections.

    Trudeau announced three changes to the carbon tax last week. One of them is totally uncontroversial: The Liberals are doubling the pre-existing carbon-tax rebate for rural Canadians, who tend to be poorer and who tend to rely more heavily on fossil fuels.

    The other two changes have Poilievre’s Conservatives and Canada’s commentariat crying foul. First, the government is now offering to cover the entire cost for low-income households to switch from oil furnaces to heat pumps. Second, home heating oil will be exempt from the carbon tax until 2025.

    One key complaint is that these changes amount to a policy flip-flop and betrayal in the fight against climate change. Yes, it’s true that home heating oil – effectively kerosene – is significantly more polluting than natural gas. As yes, it’s true that the carbon tax is meant to reduce, not reward, pollution.

    But only 3% of Canadian households still use heating oil. So Canada actually stands a chance of eliminating it – or at least reducing usage to the point where it’s only being burned by off-the-grid ideologues who don’t want to give up their oil furnaces.

    The other key criticism is that these changes amount to regional pandering. Yes, it’s true that Atlantic Canada is the only place where a significant number of homes are still heated with oil. And yes, it’s true that Atlantic Canada is the only rural area where Liberals are popular.

    But Atlantic Canada is relatively tiny, and the rest of Canada is relatively huge. While 30% of Atlantic Canadian households are heated with oil, compared to just 3% in Ontario, that’s nearly the same number of homes – 286,000 in Atlantic Canada compared to 266,000 in Ontario.

    Nonetheless, critics claim Trudeau’s tweaks to the carbon tax create two classes of Canadians. Yes, it’s true that homes heated with natural gas are not getting the same break as those heated with oil. And yes, it’s true that this is unfair to homeowners with natural gas furnaces.

    But here’s the thing: There are already two classes in Canada – and they have nothing to do with how homes are heated. The two classes in Canada are those who live pay cheque to pay cheque – or social-assistance cheque to social-assistance cheque – and those who don’t.

    Those who can afford to transition off home heating oil have already done so, because doing so saves $1,000 or more per year in energy costs. Those who haven’t done so simply couldn’t afford the upfront $15,000 or more it costs to buy and install a heat pump.

    There is of course a more fundamental question: Does carbon pricing even work? Yes, it’s true that 80% of households benefit financially from carbon pricing, thanks to the federal rebate. And yes, that suggests the tax could hardly be effective at curtailing their carbon consumption.

    But it’s also true that the top 20% of households consume far more than their share of carbon – to say nothing of corporations. That’s why the government estimates that the carbon tax will account for a third of Canada’s total greenhouse gas emission by 2030.

    Plus it’s worth remembering that we aren’t even supposed to like the carbon tax: It’s a sin tax, for god’s stake. It’s no different than the tax levied on cigarettes or alcohol.

    If you’ve never been addicted to either, you probably resent the comparison. But fossil fuels are perhaps as bad for your health – and certainly worse for the environment.

    You’re not supposed to like the carbon tax

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